Best and Worst States to Visit This Fall

Bonfires are roasting, corn is ready to harvest, and everything is flavored pumpkin spice — fall is back! If you’re like us over here at LawnStarter, you can’t wait to enjoy the great outdoors in some cooler weather. That’s why it’s crucial to know the best and worst states to visit this fall.

According to polling from YouGov, fall is most Americans’ favorite season.

The U.S. has never needed a satisfying pumpkin binge like we do now. Americans may be especially looking forward to fall this year to “anchor themselves.” We need a return to feelings of comfort, belonging, and safety” after the brutal lockdown. So our flannel-clad hikes and apple bobbing really could be doing our brains some good.

But the U.S. is a big country, and fall doesn’t strike all states equally. To help Americans plan their autumn getaways this year, LawnStarter compared 47 states — we left out California, Oregon, and Washington due to recent wildfires — across five categories:

• Parks and Forests
• Entertainment
• Trails
• Yard Size
• Natural Hazards

We looked at a total of 16 metrics. These include the amount of the state covered in national and state parks, pumpkin patches, and wineries. We also factored in scenic drives and hurricane risk.

Your fall outdoor adventure awaits as many U.S. states begin easing quarantine and travel restrictions. So dive in to find the ideal states for colorful leaves, hayrides, and baskets full of decorative gourds.

Best States for Fall Rankings

OVERALL SCORE	OVERALL RANK	State	Parks & Forests Rank	Entertainment Rank	Yard Size Rank	Trails Rank	Natural Hazards Rank
46.02	1	New York	5	1	16	3	16
43.95	2	Alaska	1	47	43	28	1
32.85	3	Michigan	9	3	12	19	11
29.66	4	Pennsylvania	12	2	9	6	17
29.44	5	Colorado	25	18	14	1	19
24.30	6	Ohio	30	4	6	15	8
22.65	7	Wisconsin	16	15	25	29	10
21.16	8	Illinois	35	7	11	26	1
20.60	9	Missouri	27	13	10	22	9
20.09	10	Maine	3	31	36	17	24
19.46	11	Hawaii	13	46	41	31	1
18.81	12	Massachusetts	6	11	22	8	30
17.92	13	Vermont	11	26	46	34	14
17.69	14	Virginia	20	5	5	7	28
17.16	15	Texas	8	6	1	11	33
16.55	16	Minnesota	29	14	18	32	13
15.99	17	Tennessee	19	16	8	9	23
15.77	18	Indiana	39	12	19	33	1
15.48	19	New Hampshire	7	24	35	10	25
15.07	20	Connecticut	4	19	21	16	31
11.74	21	West Virginia	10	41	40	37	18
11.22	22	Kentucky	22	21	26	30	20
9.78	23	Iowa	44	20	32	38	1
9.49	24	New Jersey	14	10	27	21	32
8.26	25	Maryland	36	17	7	25	22
6.77	26	Utah	18	34	28	2	35
5.91	27	Nebraska	45	27	30	46	1
5.33	28	Arkansas	24	28	29	23	27
2.21	29	North Dakota	46	43	45	47	1
1.75	30	Kansas	47	25	23	42	12
0.84	31	Delaware	40	42	34	44	15
-1.62	32	North Carolina	21	8	4	5	40
-3.26	33	Rhode Island	37	37	33	40	29
-3.31	34	Oklahoma	41	29	17	39	26
-3.54	35	South Dakota	43	45	43	41	21
-4.14	36	Montana	32	40	42	24	34
-8.89	37	Alabama	23	30	20	35	36
-11.37	38	New Mexico	38	35	38	14	37
-12.70	39	Wyoming	31	44	47	13	38
-16.26	40	Arizona	28	23	24	4	41
-21.36	41	Georgia	17	22	3	20	44
-21.78	42	Louisiana	34	39	15	43	39
-24.56	43	Florida	2	9	2	12	47
-26.63	44	Idaho	33	33	37	18	42
-28.59	45	Mississippi	26	36	31	45	43
-31.21	46	South Carolina	15	32	13	36	46
-39.51	47	Nevada	42	38	39	27	45
	Excluded	California
	Excluded	Oregon
	Excluded	Washington

Key Takeaways

New York state of mind

This state is far more than the five boroughs of the Big Apple. Upstate New York is filled with beautiful mountains, pristine lakes, and miles of parks and trails. But in a twist, New York is also our No. 1 destination for fall entertainment. No state has more apple orchards or corn mazes, making the Empire State an ideal place to enjoy your best outdoor life this fall.

Midwest is best

Half of the top 10 states are in the Midwestern U.S., all with notably top marks in the Entertainment, Hazards, and Forest categories. If you live in the middle of the country, try Michigan, Illinois or Ohio for calming walks in the woods or to perfect the smile on your carved pumpkin.

Skip the South

Three out of the five bottom states are in the South, and they’re all on the coast. This means they’re the biggest targets for less than ideal weather (a quick glance at the news will show you that fall is prime hurricane season). The other low performers are Idaho and Nevada. They’re beautiful states but with less entertainment and fewer outdoor activities like orchards, pumpkin patches, and wineries.

Methodology

To rank 2020’s Best and Worst States to Visit This Fall, LawnStarter first determined five key categories — Parks and Forests, Entertainment, Trails, Yard Size, and Natural Hazards — that fit travelers’ ideas of the fall season.

For this first edition of our study, we carefully considered the limitations imposed by the coronavirus pandemic. We decided to include only “low-COVID-19 risk” factors that allow for social-distancing and therefore maximize safety, given their outdoor nature.

Across the five key categories, we then compiled 16 total metrics that consider all ages, which are listed below with the score we assigned to each. The final category, Natural Hazards, penalizes the states accordingly for any wildfire or hurricane risk (considering fall is historically wildfire season in the northern and western regions of the U.S. and hurricane season in coastal states).

We then added up the scores across all categories and metrics for each of 47 states to arrive at the final ranking. The highest possible score is 100, and the lowest is -70. The state with the highest score was ranked No. 1, or “best state to visit this fall,” while the state with the lowest score was ranked No. 47, or “worst.”

Limitations

• Although our study accounts for wildfire risk, we decided to exclude California, Oregon, and Washington State due to the extremity of recent wildfire events in those states that currently make them unsafe travel destinations.
• We did not account for average expenses for fall activities in each state due to the complexity of such calculations, including adjustments based on average income and cost of living.
• We did not account for “fall weather,” considering the ideal fall temperature and climate is a matter of individual taste and therefore cannot be measured fairly.

Parks and Forests (Total Points: 56)

• Number of National Parks: 8 Points
• Surface of National Parks: 8 Points
• Number of State Parks: 8 Points
• Surface of State Parks: 8 Points
• Percentage of State Covered in National and State Parks: 8 Points
• Percentage of Forest Area out of Total Area: 16 Points

Entertainment (Total Points: 20)

• Number of Apple Orchards: 4 Points
• Number of Corn Mazes: 6 Points
• Number of Pumpkin Patches: 4 Points
• Number of Wineries: 6 Points

Yard Size (Total Points: 2)

• Average Yard Size: 2 Points

Trails (Total Points: 22)

• Number of Forest Trails: 8 Points
• Number of Hiking Trails: 6 Points
• Number of Scenic Drives: 8 Points

Natural Hazards (Total Points: -70)

• Wildfire Risk: -50 Points
• Hurricane Risk: -20 Points (hurricane risk was calculated based on the corresponding size of the state).

Sources: National Park Service; USDA Forest Service; Alcohol and Tobacco Tax and Trade Bureau; National Center for Disaster Preparedness; terragalleria.com; playgroundequipment.com; funtober.com; pumpkinpatchesandmore.org; LawnStarter

Main Image Credit: Shutterstock