2025’s Hurricane Forecast: Most (& Least) Affected Counties

Aerial radar of a cyclone from a hurricane or tropical storm

Editor’s Note: We’ve found an issue with one of our study’s data points and will be updating this story.

Which U.S. counties are most in harm’s way this hurricane season? 

With NOAA predicting an “above-normal” storm season, LawnStarter ranked 2025’s Most (& Least) Affected Counties by Hurricanes using 10 metrics across 4 categories.

Some findings? A staggering $5.8 billion in expected annual hurricane damages is concentrated in just 10 counties, nearly one-third of the projected nationwide loss. 

Other stormy stats: 

  • 🔍 Over the past 10 years, 215 of the 318 ranked counties saw at least 50% or more of their hurricanes reach Category 3 or stronger.
  • 🌀 43 counties have weathered 10 or more hurricanes in the past decade.
  • 🌧️ Nearly 50 counties have endured 4 Category 5 storms since 2015.

See where over 300 U.S. counties ranked below. To learn how we ranked the counties, see our methodology.

Contents

County Rankings

See how each county fared in our ranking:

Top 5 Most Affected Counties

Grey clouds hover over Broward County, Florida’s coastline.
No. 1: Broward County, Florida | 3 Biggest Cities: Fort Lauderdale, Pembroke Pines, and Hollywood

Overall Score: 72.95
FEMA Hurricane Risk Score: 99.91 | Rank: 3
Total Number of Hurricanes (Last 10 Years): 9 | Rank: 44 (tie)
Number of Category 5 Hurricanes (Last 10 Years): 4 | Rank: 1 (tie)
Expected Annual Loss from Hurricanes: $895 million | Rank: 2
Number of National Disaster Debris Recovery Facilities (EPA 2025): 18 | Rank: 248 (tie)

Photo Credit: Jason Dent / Unsplash / License
Bent shrubs, a destroyed building on the right, and other debris line a highway in Boca Raton, Florida, after a hurricane.
No. 2: Palm Beach County, Florida | 3 Biggest Cities: West Palm Beach, Boca Raton, and Boynton Beach

Overall Score: 72.12
FEMA Hurricane Risk Score: 99.87 | Rank: 4
Total Number of Hurricanes (Last 10 Years): 9 | Rank: 44 (tie)
Number of Category 5 Hurricanes (Last 10 Years): 4 | Rank: 1 (tie)
Expected Annual Loss from Hurricanes: $864 million | Rank: 3
Number of National Disaster Debris Recovery Facilities (EPA 2025): 27 | Rank: 267 (tie)

Photo Credit: Daniel Tobias / Flickr / License
A home is surrounded by flood water in Charleston, South Carolina, after Hurricane Matthew.
No. 3: Charleston County, South Carolina | 3 Biggest Cities: Charleston, North Charleston, and Mount Pleasant

Overall Score: 69.97
FEMA Hurricane Risk Score: 99.64 | Rank: 9
Total Number of Hurricanes (Last 10 Years): 12 | Rank: 1 (tie)
Number of Category 5 Hurricanes (Last 10 Years): 4 | Rank: 1 (tie)
Expected Annual Loss from Hurricanes: $358 million | Rank: 8
Number of National Disaster Debris Recovery Facilities (EPA 2025): 27 | Rank: 267 (tie)

Photo Credit: SC National Guard / Flickr / Public Domain
An aerial shot of residential homes and trees submerged in flood waters in Horry County, South Carolina
No. 4: Horry County, South Carolina | 3 Biggest Cities: Myrtle Beach, Conway, and Carolina Forest

Overall Score: 68.23
FEMA Hurricane Risk Score: 99.55 | Rank: 11
Total Number of Hurricanes (Last 10 Years): 12 | Rank: 1 (tie)
Number of Category 5 Hurricanes (Last 10 Years): 4 | Rank: 1 (tie)
Expected Annual Loss from Hurricanes: $257 million | Rank: 11
Number of National Disaster Debris Recovery Facilities (EPA 2025): 10 | Rank: 211 (tie)

Photo Credit: SC National Guard / Flickr / Public Domain
Aerial View of Harbor Town and lighthouse on Hilton Head Island, South Carolina
No. 5: Beaufort County, South Carolina | 3 Biggest Cities: Bluffton, Hilton Head Island, and Port Royal

Overall Score: 67.05
FEMA Hurricane Risk Score: 99.1 | Rank: 21
Total Number of Hurricanes (Last 10 Years): 12 | Rank: 1 (tie)
Number of Category 5 Hurricanes (Last 10 Years): 4 | Rank: 1 (tie)
Expected Annual Loss from Hurricanes: $221 million | Rank: 18
Number of National Disaster Debris Recovery Facilities (EPA 2025): 7 | Rank: 185 (tie)

Photo Credit: Rick Lohre / Adobe Stock / License

Key Insights

Florida, North Carolina, and South Carolina counties dominate the 2025 ranking, claiming 47 of the top 50 spots. All 3 states were impacted by Hurricane Helene in 2024, which brought widespread flooding and damaging winds. Beaufort County, South Carolina (No. 5), and Taylor County, Florida (No. 243), recorded some of the highest wind gusts during the storm. 

Harris County, Texas (No. 16), home to Houston, has the highest Hurricane Risk Score and expected annual loss in the country, more than $1.15 billion, according to FEMA. A recent study found that 91% of Houston is not hurricane-ready, and nearly all residents lost power during both a recent derecho and Hurricane Beryl. 

Despite every county in the ranking facing at least moderate hurricane risk, places like Kennebec County, Maine (No. 318), DeWitt County, Texas (No. 317), and Bexar County, Texas (No. 315), land at the bottom, with lower storm activity and direct hits in recent years. 

Louisiana is already bracing for hurricane season, with the National Guard updating emergency response plans, but nature may offer a twist. Saharan dust drifting across the Atlantic Ocean could suppress storm development this summer, even as coastal parishes like Jefferson (No. 63), Terrebonne (No. 57), and Orleans (No. 75) rank among the most potentially affected. 

South and North Carolina now tie Honolulu County, Hawaii (No. 72), for the most hurricanes in the past 10 years. While Honolulu has seen more Category 2 to 4 storms, only 1 Category 5 has struck the island in the past decade, and Hawaii’s risk remains lower because of infrequent landfall and reduced financial impact.

Editor’s Note

I lived on the Big Island of Hawaii for a time, and to say I experienced the best weather of my life is an understatement. I remember only hearing thunder and lightning once in the 5 years I lived there. Hawaii’s unique geography keeps most storm drama away, but when a hurricane did start heading our way, it was a different story. Stores emptied fast (unless you were in the market for SPAM), gas stations ran dry, and ATMs were tapped. Everyone prepared like it was a guaranteed hit. I lived on the leeward (or dry) side of the island, shielded by a volcano, and as often happens in Hawaii, the storm veered off at the last minute. In the end, we barely got a breeze.

Discover more storm stats below.

Top 10 Counties With the Highest Expected Annual Financial Loss

1. Harris County, TX

Houston, Pasadena, Atascocita

$1.15 billion

2. Broward County, FL

Fort Lauderdale, Pembroke Pines, Hollywood

$894.8 million

3. Palm Beach County, FL

West Palm Beach, Boca Raton, Boynton Beach

$863.8 million

4. Miami-Dade County, FL

Miami, Hialeah, Miami Gardens

$831.7 million

5. Hillsborough County, FL

Tampa, Brandon, Riverview

$441.6 million

6. Lee County, FL

Cape Coral, Lehigh Acres, Fort Myers

$387.9 million

7. Brevard County, FL

Orlando, Palm Bay, Melbourne

$365.9 million

8. Charleston County, SC

Charleston, Mount Pleasant, James Island

$358.2 million

9. Pinellas County, FL

St. Petersburg, Clearwater, Largo

$286.7 million

10. Collier County, FL

Golden Gate, Immokalee, Naples

$281.1 million

Ask the Experts

The U.S. faced 27 billion-dollar disasters in 2024, totaling more than $180 billion in damages, well above recent averages. It was also the hottest year ever recorded globally, according to NOAA, fueling more intense and frequent storms.

We asked a panel of experts how Americans can better prepare for hurricane season and recover from its aftermath. Read their insights below: 

  1. Who is most at risk for financial and emotional distress from hurricanes? 
  2. What are the 3 best resources for disaster relief? 
  3. What are the top 3 ways to prepare for a severe hurricane? 
  4. What are the 3 best ways to help those who were affected by a hurricane? 
  5. How can local governments best prepare for increasingly intensifying hurricanes in the U.S.?
Gregory Jenkins
Gregory S. Jenkins
Professor of Meteorology and Atmospheric Science, Geography, and African Studies
Joel Cline
Joel Cline
Tropical Program Coordinator at NOAA National Weather Service
Jill Trepanier
Jill C. Trepanier, Ph.D.
Associate Professor, Director of Graduate Studies, and Geography and Anthropology
Gregory Jenkins
Gregory S. Jenkins
Professor of Meteorology and Atmospheric Science, Geography, and African Studies
Pennsylvania State University

Who is most at risk for financial and emotional distress from hurricanes?

Those who are living in poverty or are in lower income brackets [are most at risk] because the cost of evacuating and any recovery cost makes these communities highly vulnerable. 

Resilience is extremely difficult for these communities. Black and Hispanic communities have a higher risk because of historical policies and practices.

What are the three best resources for disaster relief?

  1. FEMA — Federal Emergency Management Agency
  2. Red Cross 
  3. Local organizations and nonprofits

What are the top three ways to prepare for a severe hurricane?

  • If it is severe, you should evacuate. However, the key is to know beforehand where valuables are kept in the event of evacuation.
  • Keep phone contacts and other important documents in a ziplock bag in the event of flooding.
  • Have a hurricane plan in place now. 

What are the three best ways to help those who were affected by a hurricane?

  • Determine their emotional, physical, and mental needs — and if they know where family members are located.
  • Help them to get through the short-term stress and shock from the loss of property and life.
  • Help them to find resources to address immediate and short-term needs.

How can local governments best prepare for increasingly intensifying hurricanes in the U.S.?

  • Message the community about the power, typical damage of hurricanes, and why evacuation is required.
  • Help them to prepare hurricane kits and identify important documents.
  • Provide some guidance about how to evacuate and the needed resources for evacuation.
Joel Cline
Joel Cline
Tropical Program Coordinator at NOAA National Weather Service
NOAA National Weather Service

What are the top three ways to prepare for a severe hurricane?

I would begin with the basics:

  1. Know if you are in an evacuation zone and have a route planned along with keeping all your important documents together to take with you or keep in a safe place that will not be underwater in your house.  
  2. Have supplies, food, water, and medications on hand to last several days to two weeks without power. This includes taking care of animals as well.
  3. Have a way to get weather alerts from a trusted source such as hurricanes.gov or weather.gov and stay updated on the conditions. Determine and stay in a safe location and be prepared to adhere to the instructions and advice of local officials.  

What are the three best ways to help those who were affected by a hurricane?

  1. Often it is the basics that are required after a hurricane affects an area: shelter, water, ice, and food that will not go bad in unrefrigerated conditions. 
  2. They are likely to need assistance clearing the area safely and not over-exerting themselves and staying cool in the process as best you can.  
  3. Finally, a lot of people are shocked by what took place and need someone to listen and help them according to what you learned from hearing their talking points.  

How can local governments best prepare for increasingly intensifying hurricanes?

Mitigate the impacts wherever possible. If a coastal community perhaps setback laws and restrictions and had post-evacuation routes and shelters that are tested and stocked with food and equipment to house evacuees are some ways [to prepare]. 

Inland areas that will feel the impacts of hurricanes need to prepare by possibly taking action along known flood areas with the removal of people and perhaps longer-term solutions of dedicating those lands to uses other than living spaces.  

This answer could go in many different directions based on whether you are inland or coastal and where you live. The best answer is to contact your local emergency managers for advice for your area.  

Jill Trepanier
Jill C. Trepanier, Ph.D.
Associate Professor, Director of Graduate Studies, and Geography and Anthropology
Louisiana State University

Who is most at risk for financial and emotional distress from hurricanes?

The people most at risk for financial distress are:

  • Those without insurance.
  • Those living in mobile homes — simply due to the structure being more vulnerable to damage.
  • Those without any savings to assist with the time in between disaster and the receipt of insurance funds. 

The people at risk for emotional distress are likely those with higher levels of responsibilities — someone with children, animals, multiple properties, or multiple affected family members. 

Emotional distress, however, can be a result of someone who might have been more vulnerable (dealing with stress, etc.) prior to the disaster and now the disaster has been a tipping point. Emotional distress is complicated because it can affect all of us for different reasons.

What are the three best resources for disaster relief?

  1. Local emergency officials
  2. The Red Cross
  3. FEMA Disaster Recovery Centers

What are the top three ways to prepare for a severe hurricane?

  1. Proactive behavior. Prior to the hurricane season, people should follow the advice of the National Hurricane Center and get prepared. Have a “hurricane kit.” Pay attention to local officials and, when an event is oncoming, prioritize your preparation. Start with securing energy sources (solar-powered devices are really becoming helpful), making sure you have food that does not require energy to prepare, and securing water supplies. 
  2. Then you have to secure the area. Make sure all outside materials are picked up and moved inside. Damages escalate when things become projectiles.
  3. Only evacuate if told to do so or if experience tells you that your area will flood.

What are the three best ways to help those who were affected by a hurricane?

  1. Provide use of energy.
  2. Provide food.
  3. Provide water. 

If you are unable to come into the area, electronic payments can be very helpful to try and offset some of the costs. Venmo is very useful if people can get internet access — which is often available at Disaster Relief Centers.

How can local governments best prepare for increasingly intensifying hurricanes in the U.S.?

Identify places with the least amount of protection currently and prioritize those areas for enhanced protection. If we can protect more areas and more people, then the disaster impact is lessened and the state will recover more quickly.

Methodology

We identified the 10 most relevant factors for ranking the Top U.S. Counties Most at Risk for Hurricanes and grouped them into four categories: 

  • Hurricane Risk
  • Hurricane History
  • Financial Impact
  • Disaster Cleanup

Each factor was assigned a weight based on its impact. The categories, factors, and weights are listed in the table below. 

We then evaluated the 318 U.S. counties with a FEMA-designated Hurricane Risk Score using data from the sources listed below the table. Each county received a score (out of 100) for every factory, category, and overall. 
A county’s Overall Score is the average of its score across all metrics. The county with the highest score ranked No. 1 (most affected), while the county with the lowest score ranked No. 318 (least affected).

Notes

  • The “Worst” among individual factors may not be No. 318 due to ties.
  • Hurricanes that passed within 100 miles of a county’s center, the average radius of a hurricane, were counted toward that county’s storm history, even if landfall occurred elsewhere. 
  • FEMA does not provide Hurricane Risk Scores for the Eastern Pacific Basin, so West Coast counties were excluded from this study.

Sources: Federal Emergency Management Agency, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, and Environmental Protection Agency

Hurricane Yard Protection

In 2024, hurricanes were among the most damaging disasters in the U.S., with billions in property losses and widespread power outages. As storms grow more intense, your yard can be both a hazard zone and a first line of defense.

“Have a hurricane plan in place now,” advises Gregory S. Jenkins, Professor of Meteorology at Penn State. “Know where your valuables are kept, and keep phone contacts and important documents in a Ziplock bag in case of flooding.”

From fencing to fallen trees, hurricane winds can tear through outdoor spaces in minutes. With a few smart moves, you can reduce risks and protect your home’s exterior.

  • Walk your yard early in hurricane season to identify hazards and create a prep checklist.
  • Secure or store patio items like furniture, grills, and décor before a storm.
  • Remove dead branches and trim trees regularly to minimize the risk of downed limbs and roof damage.
  • Use wind-resistant landscaping with deep-rooted native plants and ground covers.
  • Replace gravel mulch with bark or rubber mulch that won’t become flying debris.
  • Reinforce fencing or replace old posts to reduce collapse risk.
  • Clean gutters and keep drains clear to prevent yard flooding.
  • Clean up yard debris after a storm to prevent injuries and restore order.

With the 2025 hurricane season predicted to be especially active, prepping your yard now can limit damage and cleanup when the next storm hits.

Hire a local LawnStarter pro to mow your lawn, trim your trees, and for storm cleanup.

Media Resources

Quotes from LawnStarter Editor-in-Chief Jeff Herman

Main Photo Credit: WikiImages / Pixabay / Lice`nse

Kimberly Magerl

Kimberly Magerl is a writer and editor specializing in landscaping, gardening, lawn care, and pest control. She enjoys growing orchids, tending to fruits and vegetables in her garden, and cooking with her home-grown herbs.