{"id":1502,"date":"2015-09-16T12:53:31","date_gmt":"2015-09-16T15:53:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/lawnstarter.wpengine.com\/?p=1502"},"modified":"2017-03-11T15:47:48","modified_gmt":"2017-03-11T18:47:48","slug":"wildfire-risk-in-western-us","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lawnstarter.com\/blog\/environment\/wildfire-risk-in-western-us\/","title":{"rendered":"In the West, Which State Faces the Biggest Wildfire Risk?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Millions of Americans have seen the alarming images of wildfires scorching thousands of acres in California. But you might be surprised to learn that California isn\u2019t the top state in the West — the U.S. region most susceptible to such disasters — for the percentage of homes at the greatest risk of being damaged by wildfires. That dubious distinction goes to Colorado.<\/span><\/p>

A LawnStarter analysis of data for 13 Western states found that 99,676 homes in Colorado are at high or very high risk of being damaged in a wildfire. That represents just over 5 percent of total households in Colorado — the highest percentage among the 13 Western states examined.<\/span><\/p>

People tend to think about scenery when they build a home, not wildfire.<\/strong>
— Forest and wildlife scientist Susan Stewart<\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>

To come up with our ranking of wildfire-jeopardized states, LawnStarter coupled data from <\/span>CoreLogic<\/span><\/a>, a provider of analytics software, with data from the U.S. Census Bureau. The CoreLogic data covers single-family dwellings, including traditional homes, duplexes and mobile homes, at high or very high risk of being damaged in a wildfire. The Census Bureau data tracks the number of households in each state.<\/span><\/p>

\"Colorado<\/a><\/p>

A plane drops fire retardant on a wildfire in Colorado.<\/strong>
Flickr\/U.S. Air Force<\/a><\/em><\/p>

Rocky Mountain Risk<\/h3>

Wildfire expert <\/span>John Daily<\/span><\/a>, director of the Center for Combustion and Environmental Research at the University of Colorado at Boulder, says most Coloradans live along the Front Range of the Rocky Mountains, and many of them are in wildfire-prone areas. The Front Range sits at the crossroads of something known as \u201cwildland-urban interface,\u201d where urban and residential development encroaches on unoccupied land, according to CoreLogic.<\/span><\/p>

Across the country, about one-third of homes are in wildland-urban zones, the <\/span>U.S. Forest Service<\/span><\/a> says. To be considered a wildland-urban zone, an area must have at least one structure for every 40 acres, according to the Forest Service.<\/span><\/p>

\u201cIn some areas, building is occurring in fire-prone areas with little consideration of risks. People tend to think about scenery when they build a home, not wildfire,\u201d says <\/span>Susan Stewart<\/span><\/a>, a forest and wildlife scientist at the University of Wisconsin.<\/span><\/p>

The Denver metro area alone has more than 30,000 single-family homes at high or very high risk of wildfire damage, with an estimated reconstruction cost of more than $9.3 billion, according to CoreLogic. Particularly vulnerable is the Denver suburb of Evergreen, where CoreLogic says more than 5,800 homes are at very high risk of wildfire damage.<\/span><\/p>

\"Colorado<\/a><\/p>

A firefighter gazes\u00a0at the sky\u00a0during a Colorado wildfire.<\/strong>
Flickr\/U.S. Air Force<\/a><\/em><\/p>

Danger Ahead?<\/h3>

\u201cClimate projections suggest Colorado is at the border between drier and wetter weather. This would suggest that wildfire frequency and intensity would remain about the same, on average,\u201d Daily says. \u201cBigger and more frequent fires occur in dry years, fewer in wet ones. This has been a wet year, and we haven\u2019t seen any big fires yet.\u201d<\/span><\/p>

Jeff Berino<\/span><\/a>, a wildfire consultant with AEI Corp. in Littleton, Colorado, says that on the heels of a \u201cvery light\u201d 2015 wildfire season, he expects Colorado to encounter some severe wildfire seasons in the next decade and beyond.<\/span><\/p>

\u201cColorado has poor forest health due to severe impacts of beetle infestation, prolonged long-term drought and some effects of what is referred to as global warming,\u201d Berino says. \u201cIt will be interesting to see what effect the predicted strong El Ni\u00f1o will have for the winter snowpack and the 2016 wildfire season.\u201d<\/span><\/p>

What follows is our ranking of 13 Western states based on the greatest risk of wildfire damage to homes.<\/span><\/p>

1. Colorado<\/h3>

\"Colorado<\/a><\/p>

A wildfire scorches trees in Colorado.
<\/strong>Flickr\/U.S. Air Force<\/a><\/em>
<\/strong><\/p>

Homes at high risk of damage:<\/strong> 50,009<\/span>
Homes at very high risk of damage:<\/strong> 49,667<\/span>
Total number of homes at high or very high risk of damage: <\/strong>99,676<\/span>
2014 population:<\/strong> 5,355,866<\/span>
Number of households (2009-2013):<\/strong> 1,977,591<\/span>
Highest-risk homes as a percentage of total households: <\/strong>5.04%<\/span><\/p>

2. Montana<\/h3>

\"Montana<\/a><\/p>

Emergency vehicles respond to a wildfire in Montana.
<\/strong>Flickr\/U.S. Department of Agriculture<\/a><\/em><\/p>

Homes at high risk of damage:<\/strong> 9,601<\/span>
Homes at very high risk of damage:<\/strong> 10,218<\/span>
Total number of homes at high or very high risk of damage:<\/strong> 19,819<\/span>
Number of households (2009-2013):<\/strong> 405,525<\/span>
Highest-risk homes as a percentage of total households:<\/strong> 4.89%<\/span><\/p>

3. New Mexico<\/h3>

\"New<\/a><\/p>

Smoke billows from a wildfire in New Mexico\u2019s Gila National Forest.
<\/strong>Flickr\/Gila National Forest<\/a><\/em><\/p>

Homes at high risk of damage:<\/strong> 25,766<\/span>
Homes at high risk of damage:<\/strong> 9,481<\/span>
Total number of homes at high or very high risk of damage: <\/strong>35,247<\/span>
2014 population:<\/strong> 2,085,572<\/span>
Number of households (2009-2013):<\/strong> 761,938<\/span>
Highest-risk homes as a percentage of total households: <\/strong>4.63%<\/span><\/p>

4. Idaho<\/h3>

\"Idaho<\/a><\/p>

Firefighters battle a wildfire in Idaho\u2019s Boise National Forest.
<\/strong>Flickr\/U.S. Department of Agriculture<\/a><\/em><\/p>

Homes at high risk of damage:<\/strong> 15,197<\/span>
Homes at very high risk of damage:<\/strong> 11,078<\/span>
Total number of homes at high or very high risk of damage:<\/strong> <\/span>26,275<\/span>
2014 population:<\/strong> 1,634,464<\/span>
Number of households (2009-2013):<\/strong> 579,797<\/span>
Highest-risk homes as a percentage of total households:<\/strong> <\/span>4.53%<\/span><\/p>

5. Oregon<\/h3>

\"Oregon<\/a><\/p>

A crew member cleans up after a wildfire in Oregon.<\/strong>
Flickr\/Oregon Military Department<\/a><\/em><\/p>

Homes at high risk of damage:<\/strong> 51,872<\/span>
Homes at very high risk of damage:<\/strong> 13,788<\/span>
Total number of homes at high or very high risk of damage:<\/strong> <\/span>65,660<\/span>
2014 population:<\/strong> 3,970,239<\/span>
Number of households (2009-2013):<\/strong> 1,516,456<\/span>
Highest-risk homes as a percentage of total households: <\/strong>3.86%<\/span><\/p>

6. Texas<\/h3>

\"Texas<\/a><\/p>

A wildfire towers over a community in Texas.<\/strong>
Flickr\/Joe Wolf<\/a><\/em><\/p>

Homes at high risk of damage:<\/strong> 261,855<\/span>
Homes at very high risk of damage:<\/strong> 35,016<\/span>
Total number of homes at high or very high risk of damage: <\/strong>296,871<\/span>
2014 population: <\/strong>26,956,958<\/span>
Number of households (2009-2013):<\/strong> 8,886,471<\/span>
Highest-risk homes as a percentage of total households:<\/strong> <\/span>3.34%<\/span><\/p>

7. California<\/h3>

\"California<\/a><\/p>

A chopper pilot surveys a wildfire in California.<\/strong>
Flickr\/California National Guard<\/a><\/em><\/p>

Homes at high risk of damage:<\/strong> 255,023<\/span>
Homes at very high risk of damage:<\/strong> 50,905<\/span>
Total number of homes at high or very high risk of damage<\/strong>: 305,928<\/span>
2014 population:<\/strong> 38,802,500<\/span>
Number of households (2009-2013):<\/strong> 15,542,460<\/span>
Highest-risk homes as a percentage of total households:<\/strong> <\/span>1.97%<\/span><\/p>

8. Wyoming<\/h3>

\"Wyoming<\/a><\/p>

The sun sets amid\u00a0wildfire smoke in Wyoming.<\/strong>
Flickr\/Elliot Gilfix<\/a><\/em><\/p>

Homes at high risk of damage:<\/strong> 2,259<\/span>
Homes at high risk of damage:<\/strong> 1,654<\/span>
Total number of homes at high or very high risk of damage: <\/strong>3,913<\/span>
2014 population:<\/strong> 584,153<\/span>
Number of households (2009-2013):<\/strong> 222,846
<\/span>Highest-risk homes as a percentage of total households:<\/strong> <\/span>1.76%<\/span><\/p>

9. Nevada<\/h3>

\"Nevada<\/a><\/p>

This photo shows the aftermath of a wildfire in Nevada.<\/strong>
Flickr\/Ken Lund<\/a><\/em><\/p>

Homes at high risk of damage:<\/strong> 8,653<\/span>
Homes at very high risk of damage:<\/strong> 281<\/span>
Total number of homes at high or very high risk of damage: <\/strong>8,934<\/span>
2014 population:<\/strong> 2,839,099<\/span>
Number of households (2009-2013):<\/strong> 999,016<\/span>
Highest-risk homes as a percentage of total households:<\/strong> <\/span>0.89%<\/span><\/p>

10. Arizona<\/h3>

\"Arizona<\/a><\/p>

A wildfire rips through Coconino National Forest in Arizona.<\/strong>
Flickr\/Coconino National Forest<\/a><\/em><\/p>

Homes at high risk of damage:<\/strong> 8,488<\/span>
Homes at very high risk of damage:<\/strong> 8,098<\/span>
Total number of homes at high or very high risk of damage:<\/strong> 16,586<\/span>
2014 population:<\/strong> 6,731,484<\/span>
Number of households (2009-2013):<\/strong> 2,370,289<\/span>
Highest-risk homes as a percentage of total households:<\/strong> 0.70%<\/span><\/p>

11. Washington<\/h3>

\"Washington<\/a><\/p>

This wildfire burned more than 14,000 acres in Washington.<\/strong>
Flickr\/Washington State Department of Natural Resources<\/a><\/em><\/p>

Homes at high risk of damage:<\/strong> 12,509<\/span>
Homes at very high risk of damage:<\/strong> 1997<\/span>
Total number of homes at high or very high risk of damage: <\/strong>14,506<\/span>
Number of households (2009-2013):<\/strong> <\/span>2,629,126<\/span>
2014 population:<\/strong> 7,061,530<\/span>
Highest-risk homes as a percentage of total households:<\/strong> <\/span>0.55%<\/span><\/p>

12. Utah<\/h3>

\"Utah<\/a><\/p>

A wildfire creeps toward a neighborhood in Utah.<\/strong>
Flickr\/Carl Berger<\/a><\/em><\/p>

Homes at high risk of damage:<\/strong> 3441<\/span>
Homes at very high risk of damage:<\/strong> 68<\/span>
Total number of homes at high or very high risk of damage:<\/strong> <\/span>3,509<\/span>
2014 population:<\/strong> 2,942,902<\/span>
Number of households (2009-2013):<\/strong> <\/span>886,770<\/span>
Highest-risk homes as a percentage of total households:<\/strong> <\/span>0.40%<\/span><\/p>

13. Oklahoma<\/h3>

\"Oklahoma<\/a><\/p>

A bison tries to graze at a wildfire-scorched area in Oklahoma.<\/strong>
Flickr\/Larry Smith<\/a><\/em><\/p>

Homes at high risk of damage:<\/strong> 187<\/span>
Homes at very high risk of damage:<\/strong> 0<\/span>
Total number of homes at high or very high risk of damage: <\/strong>187<\/span>
2014 population:<\/strong> 3,878,051<\/span>
Number of households (2009-2013):<\/strong> 1,444,081<\/span>
Highest-risk homes as a percentage of total households:<\/strong> <\/span>0.013%<\/span><\/p>

Sources<\/h4>

http:\/\/factfinder.census.gov\/faces\/tableservices\/jsf\/pages\/productview.xhtml?src=bkmk<\/span><\/a><\/p>

http:\/\/quickfacts.census.gov\/qfd\/states\/30000.html<\/span><\/p>

http:\/\/www.corelogic.com\/research\/wildfire-risk-report\/2015-wildfire-hazard-risk-report.pdf<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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